Fatih Karagümrük 38%Draw 22%Keçiörengücü 39%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.39
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Keçiörengücü to win @ 2.70 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKeçiörengücü to win ✓39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.90
Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Keçiörengücü travel to face Fatih Karagümrük on Monday 19 October in the 1. Lig, with Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Fatih Karagümrük are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Keçiörengücü are 6th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Fatih Karagümrük, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mardin 1969, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Keçiörengücü, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Iğdır FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Keçiörengücü, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Fatih Karagümrük.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fatih Karagümrük 1.4 xG, Keçiörengücü 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fatih Karagümrük 38%, draw 22%, Keçiörengücü 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Keçiörengücü to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Keçiörengücü. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fatih Karagümrük38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Keçiörengücü39%fair 2.53 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.36Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.39Keçiörengücü xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.4 – 1.4 Keçiörengücü expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keçiörengücü to win✓
39%
2.53
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Keçiörengücü (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Fatih Karagümrük +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Keçiörengücü to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keçiörengücü / FT Keçiörengücü✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
LDWDLD
15 Oct
@ Mardin 1969
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Muğlaspor
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Manisa F.K.
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Batman Petrolspor
3–4
L
2 Sep
vs Kayserispor
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Keçiörengücü – last 6
DWDDWW
14 Oct
vs Iğdır FK
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Bodrum FK
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Sivasspor
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Vanspor FK
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Sarıyer
3–0
W
1 Sep
@ Boluspor
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Keçiörengücü.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Keçiörengücü 39%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Keçiörengücü, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
