Value bet: Scarborough Athletic to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultScarborough Athletic to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.32
Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Hednesford Town v Scarborough Athletic in the National League North, played at Keys Park. In the table, Hednesford Town are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Scarborough Athletic are 20th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Hednesford Town, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Merthyr Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Scarborough Athletic, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to South Shields, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hednesford Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Scarborough Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hednesford Town 1.0 xG, Scarborough Athletic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hednesford Town 37%, draw 21%, Scarborough Athletic 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Scarborough Athletic to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hednesford Town 1–1 Scarborough Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hednesford Town37%fair 2.71 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.45
Scarborough Athletic42%fair 2.39 · @2.75
2.14Expected goals
1.02Hednesford Town xG
1.12Scarborough Athletic xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.0 – 1.1 Scarborough Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scarborough Athletic to win✓
42%
2.39
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Draw no bet
Scarborough Athletic (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Hednesford Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Scarborough Athletic to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scarborough Athletic / FT Scarborough Athletic✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.32
–
Recent results
Hednesford Town – last 6
LWLWWW
8 Aug
@ Merthyr Town
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Boston United
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Solihull Moors
1–2
L
28 Apr
vs Stockton Town
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ United of Manchester
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Prescot Cables
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Scarborough Athletic – last 6
LLLLWW
8 Aug
vs South Shields
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Barnsley
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Buxton
2–4
L
6 Apr
vs Spennymoor Town
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Darlington 1883
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Scarborough Athletic.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Scarborough Athletic 42%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 1–1 Scarborough Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Keys Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
