Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultBuxton to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Southport vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Buxton travel to face Southport on Saturday 15 August in the National League North, with Haig Avenue the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Southport are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 15 matches; Buxton are 7th (upper half) with 27. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Southport, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hebburn Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Buxton, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hereford, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Buxton, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Southport.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Southport 0–0 Buxton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southport 1.5 xG, Buxton 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southport 37%, draw 22%, Buxton 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southport 1–1 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southport37%fair 2.69 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Buxton41%fair 2.43 · @2.40
3.14Expected goals
1.52Southport xG
1.62Buxton xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Southport 1.5 – 1.6 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Southport vs Buxton?
On our numbers Southport have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Buxton 41%.
How many goals will there be in Southport vs Buxton?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southport vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is Southport 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Southport vs Buxton?
Southport vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Haig Avenue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
