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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Shields v Chorley: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Mariners Park
2–1
FT

Chorley

LLLDL
South Shields 64%Draw 23%Chorley 13% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.66
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouth Shields to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceSouth Shields or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.99

South Shields vs Chorley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

South Shields welcome Chorley to Mariners Park for a National League North fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, South Shields are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 15 matches; Chorley are 13th (lower half) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

South Shields, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Scarborough Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Chorley, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chester, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours South Shields, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Chorley.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Chorley 1–1 South Shields.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Shields 1.8 xG, Chorley 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Shields 64%, draw 23%, Chorley 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Shields 1–0 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Shields64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Chorley13%fair 7.75 · @5.50
2.43Expected goals
1.78South Shields xG
0.66Chorley xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: South Shields 1.8 – 0.7 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Shields to win ✓64%1.561.50
Double chanceSouth Shields or draw ✓87%1.151.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.73
Draw no betSouth Shields (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapSouth Shields -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.972.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreSouth Shields to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultSouth Shields ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Shields / FT South Shields ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.99–

Recent results

South Shields – last 6

WWLLWL
8 Aug@ Scarborough Athletic1–0W
28 Jul@ Gateshead4–1W
21 Julvs Harrogate Town1–2L
9 Mayvs Kidderminster Harriers0–2L
14 Aprvs Macclesfield4–1W
6 Aprvs Darlington 18830–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chorley – last 6

LLLDLL
8 Augvs Chester1–2L
28 Jul@ Trafford1–2L
25 Julvs Accrington ST0–3L
21 Julvs Altrincham0–0D
11 Julvs Bury1–2L
6 Apr@ Marine1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Chorley v South Shields1–1
South Shields vs Chorley head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Shields vs Chorley?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win South Shields vs Chorley?

On our numbers South Shields have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chorley 13%.

How many goals will there be in South Shields vs Chorley?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Shields vs Chorley?

Our predicted score is South Shields 1–0 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is South Shields vs Chorley?

South Shields vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mariners Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.