Value bet: Horsham to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHorsham to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.41
Braintree vs Horsham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the National League South brings Braintree against Horsham at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Braintree are 19th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Horsham are 12th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Braintree, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ipswich Town U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Horsham, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hampton & Richmond, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Braintree 1.2 xG, Horsham 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Braintree 34%, draw 23%, Horsham 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Horsham to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Braintree 1–1 Horsham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Braintree34%fair 2.97 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Horsham44%fair 2.29 · @2.55
2.60Expected goals
1.20Braintree xG
1.41Horsham xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Braintree 1.2 – 1.4 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✓
44%
2.29
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Horsham (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Braintree +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Horsham to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Braintree – last 6
DWLLLW
18 Aug
vs Ipswich Town U21
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Chesham United
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–4
L
1 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Felixstowe & Walton Utd
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Colchester United U21
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Horsham – last 6
WDDLLW
18 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Salisbury
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Torquay
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Worthing
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Sutton Utd
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Eastbourne Town
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Braintree and Horsham.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Braintree vs Horsham?
On our numbers Braintree have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Horsham 44%.
How many goals will there be in Braintree vs Horsham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Braintree vs Horsham?
Our predicted score is Braintree 1–1 Horsham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Braintree vs Horsham?
Braintree vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
