Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaidenhead to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceMaidenhead or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Maidenhead vs Farnborough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Maidenhead v Farnborough in the National League South, played at York Road. In the table, Maidenhead are 18th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Farnborough are 17th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Maidenhead, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hemel Hempstead Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Farnborough, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chesham United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Farnborough, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Maidenhead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maidenhead 1.5 xG, Farnborough 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maidenhead 57%, draw 22%, Farnborough 21%.
Lower-risk option: Maidenhead or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maidenhead or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidenhead 1–0 Farnborough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maidenhead57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Farnborough21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
2.18Expected goals
1.45Maidenhead xG
0.73Farnborough xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.5 – 0.7 Farnborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maidenhead to win✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Double chance
Maidenhead or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.60
Draw no bet
Maidenhead (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Farnborough +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Maidenhead to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Maidenhead – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Truro City
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Wolves
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Farnborough – last 6
WLWWDL
19 Aug
vs Chesham United
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Maidstone Utd
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Bath City
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Aldershot Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Farnborough.
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
Our pick is Maidenhead or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Farnborough 21%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–0 Farnborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
Maidenhead vs Farnborough (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
