Value bet: Salisbury to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSalisbury to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the National League South brings Salisbury against Hemel Hempstead Town. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Salisbury are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 15 matches; Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th (lower half) with 15. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salisbury, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Horsham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Maidenhead, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Salisbury, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salisbury 1.3 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salisbury 44%, draw 22%, Hemel Hempstead Town 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Salisbury to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salisbury 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salisbury44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Hemel Hempstead Town34%fair 2.95 · @2.50
2.30Expected goals
1.25Salisbury xG
1.05Hemel Hempstead Town xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Salisbury 1.3 – 1.1 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salisbury to win✗
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Draw no bet
Salisbury (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Hemel Hempstead Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Salisbury to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salisbury / FT Salisbury✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Salisbury – last 6
DWWLWL
15 Aug
@ Horsham
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
5–0
W
31 Jul
vs Havant & Wville
5–0
W
25 Jul
@ Frome Town
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
3–1
W
11 Jul
vs Bristol Rovers
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LWDDLL
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ St Albans City
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Wealdstone
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Barnet
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salisbury and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Salisbury have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hemel Hempstead Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Salisbury 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
