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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Weston-super-Mare v Dover: numbers & prediction

2–3
FT

Dover

LWLDD
Weston-super-Mare 65%Draw 22%Dover 12% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.78
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceWeston-super-Mare or draw ✗88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dover travel to face Weston-super-Mare on Saturday 22 August in the National League South – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Weston-super-Mare are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Dover are 13th (lower half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Weston-super-Mare, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Torquay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Dover, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tonbridge Angels, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Dover 1–1 Weston-super-Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Weston-super-Mare 2.0 xG, Dover 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Weston-super-Mare 65%, draw 22%, Dover 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Weston-super-Mare 2–0 Dover. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Weston-super-Mare65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.95
Dover12%fair 8.08 · @5.50
2.79Expected goals
2.01Weston-super-Mare xG
0.78Dover xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 2.0 – 0.8 Dover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗65%1.531.50
Double chanceWeston-super-Mare or draw ✗88%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.85
Draw no betWeston-super-Mare (draw no bet) ✗84%1.19–
Asian handicapWeston-super-Mare -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreWeston-super-Mare to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultWeston-super-Mare ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Weston-super-Mare – last 6

DWWLLW
18 Aug@ Torquay0–0D
15 Augvs Hampton & Richmond3–0W
8 Augvs Chesham United3–0W
31 Julvs Gloucester City0–1L
25 Julvs Exeter City0–2L
21 Jul@ Taunton Town4–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dover – last 6

LWLDDW
18 Augvs Tonbridge Angels0–1L
15 Augvs Slough Town5–3W
8 Aug@ Billericay Town0–2L
1 Augvs Carshalton Athletic1–1D
28 Julvs Herne Bay2–2D
25 Julvs Burgess Hill Town1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Dover v Weston-super-Mare1–1
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs Dover?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Dover?

On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dover 12%.

How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs Dover?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs Dover?

Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 2–0 Dover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Weston-super-Mare vs Dover?

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.