Chesham United 59%Draw 26%Billericay Town 15%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.99
85%
Betarazi pick
Chesham United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chesham United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChesham United to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceChesham United or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Chesham United vs Billericay Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Chesham United v Billericay Town in the National League South, played at The Meadow. In the table, Chesham United are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 15 matches; Billericay Town are 7th (upper half) with 26. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chesham United, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Truro City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Billericay Town, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Dorking Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 2.0 xG, Billericay Town 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 59%, draw 26%, Billericay Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Chesham United or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Chesham United to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chesham United or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 2–0 Billericay Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesham United59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
Billericay Town15%fair 6.59 · @3.60
3.03Expected goals
2.04Chesham United xG
0.99Billericay Town xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chesham United 2.0 – 1.0 Billericay Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesham United to win✗
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Chesham United or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesham United (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Chesham United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Chesham United to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Chesham United ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Chesham United – last 6
LDWWLL
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Dover
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ AFC Totton
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Farnborough
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Braintree
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Billericay Town – last 6
DLDWLW
5 Sep
vs Dorking Wanderers
3–3
D
31 Aug
@ Salisbury
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Tonbridge Angels
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Farnham Town
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ AFC Totton
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Dover
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Billericay Town.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Our pick is Chesham United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Billericay Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 2–0 Billericay Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Chesham United vs Billericay Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
