Maidenhead vs Torquay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maidenhead welcome Torquay to York Road for a National League South fixture on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Maidenhead are 18th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Torquay are 11th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Maidenhead, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dover, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Torquay, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Folkestone Invicta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maidenhead 1.3 xG, Torquay 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maidenhead 41%, draw 21%, Torquay 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidenhead 1–1 Torquay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maidenhead41%fair 2.47 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Torquay39%fair 2.60 · @2.33
2.50Expected goals
1.27Maidenhead xG
1.23Torquay xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.3 – 1.2 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maidenhead to win✗
41%
2.47
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.45
Draw no bet
Maidenhead (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Torquay +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.25
First team to score
Maidenhead to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Maidenhead – last 6
WDLDWD
5 Sep
@ Dover
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs AFC Totton
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Chelmsford City
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Farnborough
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torquay – last 6
WLDLDW
5 Sep
vs Folkestone Invicta
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Farnham Town
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–2
L
18 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Tonbridge Angels
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Torquay.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Torquay?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torquay 39%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Torquay?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Torquay?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–1 Torquay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Torquay?
Maidenhead vs Torquay (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
