Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hemel Hempstead Town travel to face Ebbsfleet United on Tuesday 8 September in the National League South, with Stonebridge Road Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Ebbsfleet United are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 16 matches; Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th (lower half) with 15. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ebbsfleet United, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Walton & Hersham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Farnham Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ebbsfleet United 1.7 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ebbsfleet United 61%, draw 22%, Hemel Hempstead Town 17%.
Lower-risk option: Ebbsfleet United or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Ebbsfleet United to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ebbsfleet United61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Hemel Hempstead Town17%fair 5.89 · @3.75
2.48Expected goals
1.72Ebbsfleet United xG
0.76Hemel Hempstead Town xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.7 – 0.8 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✗
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Ebbsfleet United or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Draw no bet
Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Ebbsfleet United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ebbsfleet United to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
WLLWLW
5 Sep
@ Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Gillingham
1–2
L
21 Jul
vs West Ham United U21
1–2
L
14 Jul
@ Aveley
4–1
W
7 Jul
@ Dartford
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Dover
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
DLLWLW
5 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Salisbury
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebbsfleet United and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hemel Hempstead Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Ebbsfleet United vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
