Farnborough v Dover Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFarnborough to win ✗61% · @1.67

Double chanceFarnborough or draw ✗84% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Farnborough vs Dover: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the National League South brings Farnborough against Dover at Saunders Transport Community Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Farnborough are 17th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Dover are 13th (lower half) with 22.

Current form

Farnborough, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Hampton & Richmond, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Dover, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dagenham & Redbridge, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farnborough 2.2 xG, Dover 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Farnborough 61%, draw 23%, Dover 16%.
Lower-risk option: Farnborough or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Farnborough to win (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farnborough 2–1 Dover. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farnborough61%fair 1.63 · @1.67

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.80

Dover16%fair 6.32 · @3.90

3.20Expected goals

2.16Farnborough xG

1.04Dover xG

63%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–010%

1–19%

1–09%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Farnborough 2.2 – 1.0 Dover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Farnborough to win ✗	61%	1.63	1.67
Double chance	Farnborough or draw ✗	84%	1.19	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.58	1.50
Draw no bet	Farnborough (draw no bet) ✗	80%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Farnborough -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
First team to score	Farnborough to score first ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Farnborough ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Farnborough / FT Farnborough ✗	41%	2.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.11	–

Farnborough – last 6

LLWDWL

8 Sep	@ Hampton & Richmond	0–2	L
5 Sep	vs Tonbridge Angels	0–4	L
31 Aug	@ Braintree	2–0	W
22 Aug	@ Maidenhead	1–1	D
19 Aug	vs Chesham United	1–0	W
15 Aug	vs Hemel Hempstead Town	0–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Dover – last 6

WLDDWL

8 Sep	@ Dagenham & Redbridge	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Maidenhead	0–3	L
31 Aug	@ Chesham United	2–2	D
29 Aug	vs Braintree	3–3	D
22 Aug	@ Weston-super-Mare	3–2	W
18 Aug	vs Tonbridge Angels	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farnborough vs Dover?

Our pick is Farnborough to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Farnborough vs Dover?

On our numbers Farnborough have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dover 16%.

How many goals will there be in Farnborough vs Dover?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farnborough vs Dover?

Our predicted score is Farnborough 2–1 Dover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Farnborough vs Dover?

Farnborough vs Dover (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Farnborough v Dover: numbers & prediction