Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tonbridge Angels travel to face Hemel Hempstead Town on Saturday 12 September in the National League South, with Focus Community Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 17 matches; Tonbridge Angels are 10th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ebbsfleet United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tonbridge Angels, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Maidstone Utd, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Tonbridge Angels, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hemel Hempstead Town 1.4 xG, Tonbridge Angels 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hemel Hempstead Town 42%, draw 21%, Tonbridge Angels 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hemel Hempstead Town42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Tonbridge Angels37%fair 2.74 · @2.88
2.67Expected goals
1.40Hemel Hempstead Town xG
1.27Tonbridge Angels xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.4 – 1.3 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✗
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
Hemel Hempstead Town (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Tonbridge Angels +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Hemel Hempstead Town to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
DDLLWL
8 Sep
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Salisbury
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
LWWDLW
8 Sep
vs Maidstone Utd
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Farnborough
4–0
W
31 Aug
vs Walton & Hersham
5–1
W
29 Aug
@ Billericay Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Truro City
0–2
L
18 Aug
@ Dover
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Tonbridge Angels.
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tonbridge Angels 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
