Value bet: Chesham United to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHorsham to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Horsham vs Chesham United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Horsham v Chesham United in the National League South, played at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium. In the table, Horsham are 12th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Chesham United are 21st (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Horsham, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Folkestone Invicta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Chesham United, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Billericay Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Horsham 1.4 xG, Chesham United 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Horsham 41%, draw 21%, Chesham United 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Chesham United to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Horsham 1–1 Chesham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Horsham41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Chesham United38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.45Horsham xG
1.37Chesham United xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Horsham 1.4 – 1.4 Chesham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✗
41%
2.42
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Draw no bet
Horsham (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Chesham United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Horsham to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Horsham – last 6
DDLWWD
8 Sep
@ Folkestone Invicta
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Farnham Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Braintree
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Salisbury
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chesham United – last 6
LLDWWL
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Dover
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ AFC Totton
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Farnborough
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and Chesham United.
What is the prediction for Horsham vs Chesham United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Horsham vs Chesham United?
On our numbers Horsham have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chesham United 38%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Chesham United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horsham vs Chesham United?
Our predicted score is Horsham 1–1 Chesham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Horsham vs Chesham United?
Horsham vs Chesham United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
