Slough Town 25%Draw 17%Hemel Hempstead Town 59%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.85
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Hemel Hempstead Town to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Slough Town v Hemel Hempstead Town in the National League South, played at Arbour Park. In the table, Slough Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 16 matches; Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Slough Town, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chatham Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wingate & Finchley, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slough Town 1.1 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slough Town 25%, draw 17%, Hemel Hempstead Town 59%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Hemel Hempstead Town to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slough Town 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slough Town25%fair 4.04 · @3.30
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.60
Hemel Hempstead Town59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
2.92Expected goals
1.07Slough Town xG
1.85Hemel Hempstead Town xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Slough Town 1.1 – 1.9 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✓
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Hemel Hempstead Town (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Slough Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Hemel Hempstead Town to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Hemel Hempstead Town ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Slough Town – last 6
LWLLLL
19 Sep
vs Chatham Town
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ AFC Totton
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Salisbury
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Braintree
1–2
L
31 Aug
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LDDDDL
22 Sep
@ Wingate & Finchley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Tonbridge Angels
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Ebbsfleet United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Farnham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slough Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Slough Town have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hemel Hempstead Town 59%.
How many goals will there be in Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Slough Town 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arbour Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
