Tonbridge Angels v Ebbsfleet United Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓47% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.93

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the National League South brings Tonbridge Angels against Ebbsfleet United at Longmead Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tonbridge Angels are 10th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Ebbsfleet United are 1st (leading the league) with 35.

Current form

Tonbridge Angels, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ramsgate, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ebbsfleet United, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Maidenhead, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tonbridge Angels, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Ebbsfleet United.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Ebbsfleet United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tonbridge Angels 1.2 xG, Ebbsfleet United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tonbridge Angels 32%, draw 21%, Ebbsfleet United 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tonbridge Angels32%fair 3.17 · @2.88

Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40

Ebbsfleet United47%fair 2.12 · @2.10

2.68Expected goals

1.17Tonbridge Angels xG

1.51Ebbsfleet United xG

60%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–08%

0–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Tonbridge Angels 1.2 – 1.5 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ebbsfleet United to win ✓	47%	2.12	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.67
Draw no bet	Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Tonbridge Angels +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Ebbsfleet United to score first	52%	1.91	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✓	27%	3.73	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	10.93	–

Tonbridge Angels – last 6

WDLWWD

19 Sep	vs Ramsgate	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Hemel Hempstead Town	1–1	D
8 Sep	vs Maidstone Utd	0–1	L
5 Sep	@ Farnborough	4–0	W
31 Aug	vs Walton & Hersham	5–1	W
29 Aug	@ Billericay Town	2–2	D

2.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ebbsfleet United – last 6

WDDWLL

19 Sep	@ Maidenhead	3–1	W
12 Sep	vs Salisbury	1–1	D
8 Sep	vs Hemel Hempstead Town	0–0	D
5 Sep	@ Walton & Hersham	2–0	W
31 Jul	vs Gillingham	1–2	L
21 Jul	vs West Ham United U21	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

On our numbers Tonbridge Angels have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ebbsfleet United 47%.

How many goals will there be in Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our predicted score is Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Longmead Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tonbridge Angels v Ebbsfleet United: numbers & prediction