Billericay Town 61%Draw 20%Farnborough 19%Expected goals 1.96 – 0.99
81%
Betarazi pick
Billericay Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Billericay Town to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBillericay Town to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceBillericay Town or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Billericay Town vs Farnborough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Farnborough travel to face Billericay Town on Saturday 10 October in the National League South – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Billericay Town are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 14 matches; Farnborough are 17th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Billericay Town, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Torquay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Farnborough, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Walton & Hersham, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Billericay Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Farnborough.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Billericay Town 2.0 xG, Farnborough 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Billericay Town 61%, draw 20%, Farnborough 19%.
Lower-risk option: Billericay Town or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Billericay Town to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Billericay Town or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Billericay Town 1–0 Farnborough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Billericay Town61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
Farnborough19%fair 5.18 · @3.90
2.95Expected goals
1.96Billericay Town xG
0.99Farnborough xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Billericay Town 2.0 – 1.0 Farnborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Billericay Town to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Billericay Town or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.40
Draw no bet
Billericay Town (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Billericay Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Billericay Town to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Billericay Town ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Billericay Town / FT Billericay Town✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Billericay Town – last 6
WLWDWD
26 Sep
vs Torquay
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Enfield Town
1–3
L
15 Sep
vs Braintree
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Maidenhead
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Chesham United
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Dorking Wanderers
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Farnborough – last 6
DLDLLL
26 Sep
@ Walton & Hersham
2–2
D
22 Sep
vs Uxbridge
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Uxbridge
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Dover
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Billericay Town and Farnborough.
What is the prediction for Billericay Town vs Farnborough?
Our pick is Billericay Town or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Farnborough?
On our numbers Billericay Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Farnborough 19%.
How many goals will there be in Billericay Town vs Farnborough?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Billericay Town vs Farnborough?
Our predicted score is Billericay Town 1–0 Farnborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Billericay Town vs Farnborough?
Billericay Town vs Farnborough (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
