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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v Dorking Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Dover

WWWWW
1–1
FT
Dover 21%Draw 17%Dorking Wanderers 62% Expected goals 1.26 – 2.29
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Dorking Wanderers to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the National League South brings Dover against Dorking Wanderers. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Dover are 13th, lower half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Dorking Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Dover, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hanwell Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dorking Wanderers, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chatham Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Dover, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Dorking Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.3 xG, Dorking Wanderers 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 21%, draw 17%, Dorking Wanderers 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Dorking Wanderers to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–2 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @3.90
Dorking Wanderers62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
3.55Expected goals
1.26Dover xG
2.29Dorking Wanderers xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Dover 1.3 – 2.3 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDorking Wanderers to win ✗62%1.621.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.44
Draw no betDorking Wanderers (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapDorking Wanderers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
First team to scoreDorking Wanderers to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultDorking Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Dover – last 6

WWWWWL
3 Oct@ Hanwell Town2–1W
26 Sepvs AFC Totton2–0W
19 Sepvs Folkestone Invicta4–2W
12 Sep@ Farnborough1–0W
8 Sep@ Dagenham & Redbridge1–0W
5 Sepvs Maidenhead0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dorking Wanderers – last 6

WWDDDD
3 Octvs Chatham Town1–0W
26 Sepvs Braintree4–3W
20 Sep@ Southall2–2D
12 Sep@ Torquay2–2D
8 Sepvs Chelmsford City3–3D
5 Sep@ Billericay Town3–3D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dover and Dorking Wanderers.

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

On our numbers Dover have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Dorking Wanderers 62%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–2 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Dover vs Dorking Wanderers?

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.