Chesham United 37%Draw 21%Chelmsford City 41%Expected goals 1.33 – 1.41
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Chelmsford City to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelmsford City to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Chesham United vs Chelmsford City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the National League South brings Chesham United against Chelmsford City at The Meadow. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Chesham United are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 15 matches; Chelmsford City are 8th (upper half) with 25. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chesham United, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Real Bedford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Chelmsford City, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brackley Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 1.3 xG, Chelmsford City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 37%, draw 21%, Chelmsford City 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Chelmsford City to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 1–1 Chelmsford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesham United37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Chelmsford City41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
2.74Expected goals
1.33Chesham United xG
1.41Chelmsford City xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.3 – 1.4 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✓
41%
2.42
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Chesham United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Chesham United – last 6
WLWWLL
3 Oct
vs Real Bedford
4–3
W
26 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ware
7–2
W
12 Sep
@ Horsham
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
2.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chelmsford City – last 6
WDWDDD
3 Oct
@ Brackley Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Horsham
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Canvey Island
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Dorking Wanderers
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Salisbury
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Chelmsford City.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelmsford City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 Chelmsford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?
Chesham United vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
