Chelmsford City 61%Draw 22%Tonbridge Angels 17%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.75
83%
Betarazi pick
Chelmsford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Chelmsford City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelmsford City to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceChelmsford City or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelmsford City welcome Tonbridge Angels for a National League South fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Tonbridge Angels are 10th (upper half) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chelmsford City, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wimborne Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Tonbridge Angels, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maidenhead, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chelmsford City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Tonbridge Angels.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.7 xG, Tonbridge Angels 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 61%, draw 22%, Tonbridge Angels 17%.
Lower-risk option: Chelmsford City or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Chelmsford City to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chelmsford City or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelmsford City61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
Tonbridge Angels17%fair 5.93 · @3.40
2.45Expected goals
1.70Chelmsford City xG
0.75Tonbridge Angels xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.7 – 0.7 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Chelmsford City or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Chelmsford City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Chelmsford City – last 6
LWWDWD
17 Oct
@ Wimborne Town
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Chesham United
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ Brackley Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Horsham
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Canvey Island
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
WLLWDL
10 Oct
@ Maidenhead
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Torquay
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Ramsgate
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Maidstone Utd
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Chelmsford City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tonbridge Angels 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–0 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels?
Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
