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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ebbsfleet United v Maidenhead: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Stonebridge Road Stadium
4–0
FT
Ebbsfleet United 60%Draw 21%Maidenhead 18% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.79
60%
Betarazi pick

Ebbsfleet United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ebbsfleet United welcome Maidenhead to Stonebridge Road Stadium for a National League South fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ebbsfleet United are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 16 matches; Maidenhead are 18th (lower half) with 16. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ebbsfleet United, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Horsham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Maidenhead, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Maidstone Utd, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ebbsfleet United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Maidenhead.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Sep 2026) it ended Maidenhead 1–3 Ebbsfleet United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ebbsfleet United 2 wins, Maidenhead 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ebbsfleet United 1.7 xG, Maidenhead 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ebbsfleet United 60%, draw 21%, Maidenhead 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ebbsfleet United or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ebbsfleet United to win (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Maidenhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ebbsfleet United60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.00
Maidenhead18%fair 5.44 · @4.80
2.50Expected goals
1.71Ebbsfleet United xG
0.79Maidenhead xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.7 – 0.8 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEbbsfleet United to win ✓60%1.661.55
Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓82%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.67
Draw no betEbbsfleet United (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapMaidenhead +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreEbbsfleet United to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Ebbsfleet United – last 6

DWWWWL
20 Octvs Horsham2–2D
17 Octvs Weston-super-Mare6–1W
13 Octvs AFC Totton5–0W
10 Oct@ Hampton & Richmond2–0W
6 Octvs Folkestone Invicta1–0W
3 Octvs Sholing1–2L
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Maidenhead – last 6

LLWLDL
17 Oct@ Maidstone Utd1–2L
10 Octvs Tonbridge Angels0–1L
26 Sep@ Chesham United4–0W
19 Sepvs Ebbsfleet United1–3L
12 Sepvs Billericay Town2–2D
8 Sepvs Torquay0–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Sep 2026Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United1–3
17 Mar 2026Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United2–3
Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?

Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?

On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maidenhead 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?

Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead?

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.