Hemel Hempstead Town v AFC Totton Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗63% · @1.65

Double chanceHemel Hempstead Town or draw ✗83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Hemel Hempstead Town v AFC Totton in the National League South, played at Focus Community Arena. In the table, Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 17 matches; AFC Totton are 16th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dagenham & Redbridge, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AFC Totton, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Folkestone Invicta, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Hemel Hempstead Town, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for AFC Totton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hemel Hempstead Town 1.6 xG, AFC Totton 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hemel Hempstead Town 63%, draw 20%, AFC Totton 17%.
Lower-risk option: Hemel Hempstead Town or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hemel Hempstead Town to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 AFC Totton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hemel Hempstead Town63%fair 1.59 · @1.65

Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.75

AFC Totton17%fair 5.94 · @4.50

2.21Expected goals

1.58Hemel Hempstead Town xG

0.63AFC Totton xG

55%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

2–014%

0–011%

1–111%

2–19%

3–07%

From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.6 – 0.6 AFC Totton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hemel Hempstead Town to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.65
Double chance	Hemel Hempstead Town or draw ✗	83%	1.20	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.62
Draw no bet	Hemel Hempstead Town (draw no bet) ✗	79%	1.27	–
Asian handicap	Hemel Hempstead Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Hemel Hempstead Town to score first	64%	1.57	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town ✗	37%	2.70	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.60	–

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6

DWLDDD

10 Oct	@ Dagenham & Redbridge	0–0	D
26 Sep	@ Slough Town	2–0	W
22 Sep	@ Wingate & Finchley	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Wingate & Finchley	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Tonbridge Angels	1–1	D
8 Sep	@ Ebbsfleet United	0–0	D

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

AFC Totton – last 6

LLLLLL

17 Oct	@ Folkestone Invicta	1–2	L
13 Oct	@ Ebbsfleet United	0–5	L
10 Oct	vs Walton & Hersham	0–1	L
26 Sep	@ Dover	0–2	L
19 Sep	vs Gloucester City	0–2	L
12 Sep	vs Slough Town	0–1	L

0.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?

Our pick is Hemel Hempstead Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?

On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Totton 17%.

How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?

Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 AFC Totton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hemel Hempstead Town v AFC Totton: numbers & prediction