Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Blackpool welcome Aston Villa U21 to Bloomfield Road for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 27 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Blackpool are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Aston Villa U21 are 4th with 0.
Current form
Blackpool, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Mansfield Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Aston Villa U21, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Burnley U21, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Aston Villa U21, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Blackpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Blackpool 3.3 xG, Aston Villa U21 1.4 xG – a total near 4.8. That is an open game on paper: 85% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Blackpool 72%, draw 17%, Aston Villa U21 11%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Blackpool to win (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackpool 3–1 Aston Villa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Blackpool72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @5.00
Aston Villa U2111%fair 9.00 · @6.50
4.75Expected goals
3.32Blackpool xG
1.43Aston Villa U21 xG
67%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–25%
3–05%
2–25%
From our goals model: Blackpool 3.3 – 1.4 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackpool to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Double chance
Blackpool or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Draw no bet
Blackpool (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Blackpool -1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
–
First team to score
Blackpool to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Blackpool ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackpool / FT Blackpool✗
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
13.25
–
Recent results
Blackpool – last 6
LWLLDL
24 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
1–4
L
20 Oct
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Leyton Orient
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Cambridge United
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Crewe
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Wigan
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
WLDWDL
17 Oct
@ Burnley U21
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Crewe
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fulham U21
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Brondby U21
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackpool and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Blackpool to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Blackpool have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aston Villa U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Blackpool 3–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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