Port Vale vs Manchester City U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the EFL Trophy brings Port Vale against Manchester City U21 at Vale Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 1st on 7 points after 3 matches; Manchester City U21 are 3rd with 3.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to York, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Manchester City U21, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Stoke City U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 2.8 xG, Manchester City U21 1.7 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 59%, draw 19%, Manchester City U21 22%.
GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 2–1 Manchester City U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.80
Manchester City U2122%fair 4.53 · @3.80
4.50Expected goals
2.77Port Vale xG
1.73Manchester City U21 xG
74%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–15%
4–15%
From our goals model: Port Vale 2.8 – 1.7 Manchester City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
74%
1.36
1.33
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Manchester City U21 +2 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Port Vale ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.57
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
LDWWWD
24 Oct
@ York
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Manchester City U21 – last 6
WLLLWW
23 Oct
vs Stoke City U21
4–3
W
19 Sep
@ Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–4
L
15 Sep
@ Chesterfield
3–5
L
28 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest U21
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Wolves U21
4–0
W
19 Aug
@ Mansfield Town
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Manchester City U21.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester City U21 22%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 2–1 Manchester City U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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