AFC Wimbledon 66%Draw 19%Arsenal U21 15%Expected goals 2.10 – 0.90
66%
Betarazi pick
AFC Wimbledon to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Wimbledon to win ✗66% · @1.50
Double chanceAFC Wimbledon or draw ✗85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Wimbledon welcome Arsenal U21 to Plough Lane for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 27 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Arsenal U21 are 4th with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wycombe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Arsenal U21, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Leicester City U21, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arsenal U21, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for AFC Wimbledon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Wimbledon 2.1 xG, Arsenal U21 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Wimbledon 66%, draw 19%, Arsenal U21 15%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Wimbledon or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AFC Wimbledon to win (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Wimbledon 2–0 Arsenal U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Wimbledon66%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.00
Arsenal U2115%fair 6.57 · @4.60
3.00Expected goals
2.10AFC Wimbledon xG
0.90Arsenal U21 xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 2.1 – 0.9 Arsenal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Wimbledon to win✗
66%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
AFC Wimbledon or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Draw no bet
AFC Wimbledon (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
AFC Wimbledon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
AFC Wimbledon to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
AFC Wimbledon ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Wimbledon / FT AFC Wimbledon✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
DLLLDD
24 Oct
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
20 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Sheffield Wednesday
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Plymouth
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Barnet
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal U21 – last 6
LDDWLD
24 Oct
@ Leicester City U21
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Sunderland U21
2–2
D
18 Sep
@ Birmingham City U21
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Chelsea U21
1–4
L
31 Aug
@ Brighton U21
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Arsenal U21.
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
Our pick is AFC Wimbledon to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arsenal U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 2–0 Arsenal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21?
AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Plough Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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