Crewe vs Aston Villa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Tuesday 22 September: Crewe v Aston Villa U21 in the EFL Trophy, played at Alexandra Stadium. In the table, Crewe are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Aston Villa U21 are 4th with 0.
Current form
Crewe, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shrewsbury, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aston Villa U21, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Middlesbrough U21, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 3.4 xG, Aston Villa U21 1.6 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 72% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 69%, draw 18%, Aston Villa U21 13%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 3–1 Aston Villa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crewe69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.40
Aston Villa U2113%fair 7.82 · @5.50
5.00Expected goals
3.38Crewe xG
1.62Aston Villa U21 xG
72%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–16%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
4–25%
From our goals model: Crewe 3.4 – 1.6 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Double chance
Crewe or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.38
1.40
Draw no bet
Crewe (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Crewe -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
Crewe to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Crewe ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
14.22
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
DDDDDL
19 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs York
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
DWDLLW
18 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fulham U21
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Brondby U21
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Brighton U21
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Crewe have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aston Villa U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Crewe 3–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?
Crewe vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Salford City1
Sheffield Wednesday2
Accrington ST3
Sunderland U213
Wigan3
Blackpool2
York1
Rotherham1
Port Vale1
Tranmere1
Shrewsbury0
Nottingham Forest U211
Notts County2
Grimsby1