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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

York v Rotherham: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · York`s LNER Community Stadium

York

LLWDL
1–1
FTPens 4–5
York 42%Draw 23%Rotherham 36% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.92
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultYork to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.15

York vs Rotherham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 22 September: York v Rotherham in the EFL Trophy, played at York`s LNER Community Stadium.

Current form

York, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chesterfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Rotherham, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Northampton, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Rotherham 1–1 York.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give York 2.1 xG, Rotherham 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – York 42%, draw 23%, Rotherham 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Rotherham to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: York 2–1 Rotherham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

York42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Rotherham36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.08York xG
1.92Rotherham xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: York 2.1 – 1.9 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYork to win ✗42%2.402.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.441.50
Draw no betYork (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapRotherham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreYork to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultYork ahead at half-time ✓35%2.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT York / FT York ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.15–

Recent results

York – last 6

LLWDLW
19 Sep@ Chesterfield0–2L
15 Sepvs Newcastle United U211–3L
12 Sepvs Swindon Town4–0W
5 Sep@ Crewe1–1D
1 Sep@ Cheltenham2–3L
29 Augvs Exeter City2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rotherham – last 6

WDLDWD
19 Sep@ Northampton1–0W
12 Sepvs Salford City3–3D
5 Sep@ Bristol Rovers0–1L
1 Sep@ Tranmere2–2D
29 Augvs Chesterfield2–1W
22 Augvs York1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Rotherham v York1–1
York vs Rotherham head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton3300+89
2Rotherham3201+26
3Manchester City U213102-13
4Oldham3003-90

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for York vs Rotherham?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win York vs Rotherham?

On our numbers York have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rotherham 36%.

How many goals will there be in York vs Rotherham?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for York vs Rotherham?

Our predicted score is York 2–1 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is York vs Rotherham?

York vs Rotherham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.