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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesterfield v Port Vale: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Proact Stadium

Chesterfield

WWWDD
1–1
FTPens 4–3

Port Vale

LWLLD
Chesterfield 38%Draw 21%Port Vale 40% Expected goals 3.96 – 4.04
74%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPort Vale to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–4 ✗4% · fair 25.97

Chesterfield vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chesterfield welcome Port Vale to Proact Stadium for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 22 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Chesterfield are 2nd on 4 points after 3 matches; Port Vale are 1st with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chesterfield, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over York, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Port Vale, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Walsall, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chesterfield, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Port Vale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 4.0 xG, Port Vale 4.0 xG – a total near 8.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 99% and GG at 74%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 38%, draw 21%, Port Vale 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (74%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (74%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 3–4 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesterfield38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Port Vale40%fair 2.48 · @2.75
8.00Expected goals
3.96Chesterfield xG
4.04Port Vale xG
74%Both score
99%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–44%
3–34%
4–44%
4–34%
3–53%
4–53%

From our goals model: Chesterfield 4.0 – 4.0 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPort Vale to win ✗40%2.482.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓74%1.361.50 ▲
Draw no betPort Vale (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapChesterfield +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗99%1.01–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scorePort Vale to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultPort Vale ahead at half-time ✓39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–4 ✗4%25.97–

Recent results

Chesterfield – last 6

WWWDDL
19 Sepvs York2–0W
15 Sepvs Manchester City U215–3W
12 Sep@ Oldham2–1W
5 Sepvs Barnet3–3D
1 Sepvs Gillingham1–1D
29 Aug@ Rotherham1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Port Vale – last 6

LWLLDD
19 Sep@ Walsall0–2L
12 Sepvs Exeter City1–0W
5 Sep@ Salford City0–1L
1 Sep@ Swindon Town1–3L
29 Augvs Crewe0–0D
22 Augvs Tranmere1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Port Vale.

Chesterfield vs Port Vale head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale3201+57
2Fleetwood Town3300+47
3Accrington ST3102-14
4Leeds United U213003-80

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Salford City1 Sheffield Wednesday2 124%2.50X51%3.30225%2.30 X2Sheffield Wednesday or draw 76%@1.44 ✓
FT Accrington ST3 Sunderland U213 Pens 3–1 159%1.67X20%4.00221%3.50 1Accrington ST to win 59%@1.67 ✗
FT Wigan3 Blackpool2 140%2.25X23%3.10237%2.70 2.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.53 ✓
FT Crewe4 Aston Villa U211 169%1.40X18%4.40213%5.50 3.4–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.40 ✓
FT York1 Rotherham1 Pens 4–5 142%2.05X23%3.10236%3.00 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Tranmere1 Shrewsbury0 147%2.10X24%2.90229%3.20 12Either team to win 76%@1.35 ✓
FT Burton Albion1 Nottingham Forest U211 Pens 3–4 162%1.50X23%3.90214%4.75 1Burton Albion to win 62%@1.50 ✗
FT Notts County2 Grimsby1 148%2.10X21%3.30231%2.80 12Either team to win 79%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

On our numbers Chesterfield have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Port Vale 40%.

How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

We expect about 8.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 99% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

Our predicted score is Chesterfield 3–4 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 8.0 goals in total.

When is Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

Chesterfield vs Port Vale (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Proact Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.