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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wigan v Aston Villa U21: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · The Brick Community Stadium

Wigan

LDLDW
3–2
FT

Aston Villa U21

WLDWL
Wigan 63%Draw 21%Aston Villa U21 17% Expected goals 2.23 – 1.08
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultWigan to win ✓63% · @1.47
Double chanceWigan or draw ✓83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 18 August: Wigan v Aston Villa U21 in the EFL Trophy, played at The Brick Community Stadium. In the table, Wigan are 4th on 1 points after 3 matches; Aston Villa U21 are 4th with 0. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Wigan, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cambridge United, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Aston Villa U21, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tamworth, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aston Villa U21, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Wigan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wigan 2.2 xG, Aston Villa U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wigan 63%, draw 21%, Aston Villa U21 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wigan 2–1 Aston Villa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wigan63%fair 1.59 · @1.47
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.55
Aston Villa U2117%fair 6.02 · @5.30
3.31Expected goals
2.23Wigan xG
1.08Aston Villa U21 xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Wigan 2.2 – 1.1 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWigan to win ✓63%1.591.47
Double chanceWigan or draw ✓83%1.201.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.55
Draw no betWigan (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapWigan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
First team to scoreWigan to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultWigan ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wigan / FT Wigan ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Wigan – last 6

LDLDWL
15 Aug@ Cambridge United2–3L
8 Aug@ Barnsley1–1D
1 Aug@ Grimsby0–2L
31 Jul@ Southport0–0D
25 Jul@ AFC Fylde3–0W
18 Julvs Port Vale1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aston Villa U21 – last 6

WLDWLW
21 Jul@ Tamworth2–1W
1 Mayvs Manchester City U212–3L
24 Apr@ Southampton U213–3D
17 Apr@ Stoke City U211–0W
10 Aprvs Middlesbrough U210–2L
6 Apr@ Blackburn Rovers U212–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wigan and Aston Villa U21.

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City3300+69
2Stockport County320105
3Wolves U213102-33
4Wigan3003-31

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Stockport County6 Everton U213 176%1.19X16%5.9028%13.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Reading1 Wycombe1 Pens 3–1 144%2.32X20%3.65236%2.58 1.7–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✓
FT Leyton Orient1 AFC Wimbledon1 Pens 6–5 147%2.02X20%3.70233%3.10 1.7–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.48 ✓
FT Northampton0 Brighton U213 168%1.51X21%4.50212%4.90 2.4–0.9xG 1Northampton to win 68%@1.51 ✗
FT Barnet5 Arsenal U211 162%1.52X21%4.50217%4.85 2.3–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?

On our numbers Wigan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa U21 17%.

How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?

Our predicted score is Wigan 2–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Wigan vs Aston Villa U21?

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Brick Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.