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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Northampton v Brighton U21: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Sixfields Stadium

Northampton

DLWDW
0–3
FT

Brighton U21

WWWWD
Northampton 68%Draw 21%Brighton U21 12% Expected goals 2.37 – 0.94
68%
Betarazi pick

Northampton to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.51 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.51Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorthampton to win ✗68% · @1.51
Double chanceNorthampton or draw ✗88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Northampton vs Brighton U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Northampton welcome Brighton U21 to Sixfields Stadium for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Northampton are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Brighton U21 are 4th with 1.

Current form

Northampton, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Swindon Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Brighton U21, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Millwall U21, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Brighton U21, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Northampton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 2.4 xG, Brighton U21 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 68%, draw 21%, Brighton U21 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Northampton to win (68%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 2–0 Brighton U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northampton68%fair 1.48 · @1.51
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.50
Brighton U2112%fair 8.52 · @4.90
3.32Expected goals
2.37Northampton xG
0.94Brighton U21 xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: Northampton 2.4 – 0.9 Brighton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthampton to win ✗68%1.481.51
Double chanceNorthampton or draw ✗88%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.53
Draw no betNorthampton (draw no bet) ✗85%1.17–
Asian handicapNorthampton -1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.551.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
First team to scoreNorthampton to score first ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultNorthampton ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northampton / FT Northampton ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Northampton – last 6

DLWDWD
15 Augvs Swindon Town0–0D
8 Aug@ Leicester0–1L
1 Aug@ Solihull Moors4–2W
28 Jul@ Cambridge United0–0D
22 Jul@ Southend3–1W
18 Julvs Coventry0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Brighton U21 – last 6

WWWWDW
14 Augvs Millwall U212–0W
8 May@ Tottenham Hotspur U213–1W
4 Mayvs West Ham United U213–0W
24 Apr@ Ipswich Town U212–1W
3 Aprvs Aston Villa U210–0D
22 Marvs Everton U215–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Brighton U21.

Northampton vs Brighton U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton3300+59
2Walsall3201+15
3Shrewsbury3102-13
4Chelsea U213003-51

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Wigan3 Aston Villa U212 163%1.47X21%4.55217%5.30 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.45 ✓
FT Stockport County6 Everton U213 176%1.19X16%5.9028%13.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Reading1 Wycombe1 Pens 3–1 144%2.32X20%3.65236%2.58 1.7–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✓
FT Leyton Orient1 AFC Wimbledon1 Pens 6–5 147%2.02X20%3.70233%3.10 1.7–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.48 ✓
FT Barnet5 Arsenal U211 162%1.52X21%4.50217%4.85 2.3–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northampton vs Brighton U21?

Our pick is Northampton to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.

Who will win Northampton vs Brighton U21?

On our numbers Northampton have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brighton U21 12%.

How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Brighton U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Brighton U21?

Our predicted score is Northampton 2–0 Brighton U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Northampton vs Brighton U21?

Northampton vs Brighton U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.