Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarnet to win ✓62% · @1.52
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Barnet vs Arsenal U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barnet welcome Arsenal U21 to The Hive Stadium for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Barnet are 3rd on 5 points after 3 matches; Arsenal U21 are 4th with 3. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barnet, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Salford City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Arsenal U21, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Crystal Palace U21, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barnet 2.3 xG, Arsenal U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barnet 62%, draw 21%, Arsenal U21 17%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnet 2–1 Arsenal U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barnet62%fair 1.62 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.50
Arsenal U2117%fair 5.96 · @4.85
3.40Expected goals
2.27Barnet xG
1.13Arsenal U21 xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Barnet 2.3 – 1.1 Arsenal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✓
62%
1.62
1.52
Double chance
Barnet or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Draw no bet
Barnet (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Barnet -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
First team to score
Barnet to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Barnet – last 6
WLDDLD
15 Aug
vs Salford City
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bromley
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Oxford United
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Luton
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal U21 – last 6
LLLDLW
13 Apr
@ Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Sunderland U21
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Leicester City U21
1–5
L
6 Mar
@ Norwich City U21
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Ipswich Town U21
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Reading U21
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Arsenal U21.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
On our numbers Barnet have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
Our predicted score is Barnet 2–1 Arsenal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Barnet vs Arsenal U21?
Barnet vs Arsenal U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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