Rotherham 59%Draw 20%Newcastle United U21 21%Expected goals 2.21 – 1.25
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultRotherham to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 November the EFL Trophy brings Rotherham against Newcastle United U21 at New York Stadium. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Rotherham are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Newcastle United U21 are 3rd with 2.
Current form
Rotherham, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Swindon Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Newcastle United U21, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Peterborough United U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Newcastle United U21, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Rotherham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 2.2 xG, Newcastle United U21 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 59%, draw 20%, Newcastle United U21 21%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 2–1 Newcastle United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotherham59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.90
Newcastle United U2121%fair 4.78 · @4.10
3.46Expected goals
2.21Rotherham xG
1.25Newcastle United U21 xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rotherham 2.2 – 1.2 Newcastle United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle United U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
First team to score
Rotherham to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Rotherham ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Rotherham – last 6
LDDLLL
31 Oct
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Newport County
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
6 Oct
vs Bradford
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newcastle United U21 – last 6
WWWWLL
30 Oct
vs Peterborough United U21
2–0
W
26 Oct
vs Sunderland U21
3–2
W
13 Oct
@ Hartlepool
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Luton Town U21
4–1
W
6 Oct
@ Solihull Moors
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Bradford
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Newcastle United U21.
What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle United U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 2–1 Newcastle United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21?
Rotherham vs Newcastle United U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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