Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Newport County to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewport County to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceNewport County or draw ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 November the EFL Trophy brings Newport County against Crystal Palace U21 at Rodney Parade. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Newport County are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Crystal Palace U21 are 4th with 1. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newport County, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Chesterfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Crystal Palace U21, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Southampton U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newport County, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Crystal Palace U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 2.4 xG, Crystal Palace U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 65%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace U21 13%.
Lower-risk option: Newport County or draw (87%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Newport County to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newport County or draw (87%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 2–1 Crystal Palace U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport County65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.80
Crystal Palace U2113%fair 7.45 · @4.00
3.45Expected goals
2.40Newport County xG
1.05Crystal Palace U21 xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Newport County 2.4 – 1.1 Crystal Palace U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport County to win✗
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Newport County or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Newport County (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Newport County -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Newport County to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Newport County ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport County / FT Newport County✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Newport County – last 6
WLDDWD
30 Oct
vs Chesterfield
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Cheltenham
0–1
L
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Colchester
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Crystal Palace U21 – last 6
LWLLLW
26 Oct
vs Southampton U21
2–5
L
18 Oct
@ Leeds United U21
4–1
W
14 Oct
vs Anderlecht U21
1–4
L
22 Sep
@ Plymouth
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Blackburn Rovers U21
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Crystal Palace U21.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21?
Our pick is Newport County or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21?
On our numbers Newport County have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Crystal Palace U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21?
Our predicted score is Newport County 2–1 Crystal Palace U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21?
Newport County vs Crystal Palace U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rotherham0
Newcastle United U211
Rochdale1
Doncaster4
Cambridge United6
Brighton U210