Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultDoncaster to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Rochdale vs Doncaster: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Rochdale v Doncaster in the EFL Trophy, played at Spotland.
Current form
Rochdale, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Port Vale, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Doncaster, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Milton Keynes Dons, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Doncaster, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.4 xG, Doncaster 2.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 22%, draw 21%, Doncaster 57%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–2 Doncaster. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochdale22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.75
Doncaster57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
3.68Expected goals
1.39Rochdale xG
2.29Doncaster xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 2.3 Doncaster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Doncaster to win✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Draw no bet
Doncaster (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Rochdale +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.20
First team to score
Doncaster to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Doncaster ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Doncaster / FT Doncaster✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Rochdale – last 6
LLDLDL
31 Oct
@ Port Vale
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–5
L
20 Oct
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Tranmere
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Huddersfield
0–5
L
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Doncaster – last 6
LLWLLW
31 Oct
@ Milton Keynes Dons
1–6
L
27 Oct
@ Luton
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Stockport County
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Leicester
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Burton Albion
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Doncaster.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Rochdale vs Doncaster?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Doncaster 57%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Doncaster?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Doncaster?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–2 Doncaster, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Doncaster?
Rochdale vs Doncaster (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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