Notts County v Nottingham Forest U21: numbers & prediction

Notts County vs Nottingham Forest U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Notts County welcome Nottingham Forest U21 to Meadow Lane for a EFL Trophy fixture on Tuesday 13 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Notts County are 4th on 3 points after 3 matches; Nottingham Forest U21 are 4th with 1. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Notts County, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oxford United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Nottingham Forest U21, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Peterborough United U21, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Nottingham Forest U21, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Notts County.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 2.0 xG, Nottingham Forest U21 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 63%, draw 14%, Nottingham Forest U21 23%.
• GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Notts County to win (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 2–1 Nottingham Forest U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.