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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gillingham v Brighton U21: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham

WDLLW
4–3
FT

Brighton U21

WLWWD
Gillingham 42%Draw 19%Brighton U21 39% Expected goals 2.04 – 1.96
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Brighton U21 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGillingham to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.38

Gillingham vs Brighton U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 13 October the EFL Trophy brings Gillingham against Brighton U21 at Priestfield Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Gillingham are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Brighton U21 are 4th with 1. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gillingham, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Rotherham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Brighton U21, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sheffield United U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 2.0 xG, Brighton U21 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 42%, draw 19%, Brighton U21 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.
  • Price worth noting: Brighton U21 to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 2–1 Brighton U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gillingham42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
Brighton U2139%fair 2.59 · @2.75
4.00Expected goals
2.04Gillingham xG
1.96Brighton U21 xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Gillingham 2.0 – 2.0 Brighton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGillingham to win ✓42%2.392.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.25
Draw no betGillingham (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapBrighton U21 +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreGillingham to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultGillingham ahead at half-time ✓34%2.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gillingham / FT Gillingham ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.38–

Recent results

Gillingham – last 6

WDLLWW
10 Oct@ Rotherham4–1W
3 Octvs Newport County0–0D
26 Sep@ York0–3L
22 Sepvs Cambridge United1–4L
19 Sepvs Bristol Rovers3–0W
12 Sepvs Tranmere2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Brighton U21 – last 6

WLWWDD
9 Octvs Sheffield United U212–1W
19 Sep@ Liverpool U211–5L
16 Sepvs Paris Saint-Germain U212–1W
11 Sepvs Leicester City U213–0W
4 Sep@ West Ham United U211–1D
31 Augvs Arsenal U212–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Brighton U21.

Gillingham vs Brighton U21 head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester3300+49
2Wycombe3201+46
3Gillingham3102-13
4Fulham U213003-70

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Notts County5 Nottingham Forest U211 163%1.80X14%4.00223%3.00 2.0–1.0xG 1Notts County to win 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Oldham4 Leeds United U212 170%1.36X20%4.60210%5.50 2.9–1.1xG 1Oldham to win 70%@1.36 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 Tottenham Hotspur U212 Pens 7–6 164%1.75X16%4.00220%3.30 2.3–1.2xG 1Cheltenham to win 64%@1.75 ✗
FT Walsall3 Fulham U212 160%1.95X13%3.75226%2.80 4.1–2.9xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Reading0 Chelsea U212 168%1.50X21%4.00211%4.60 2.6–1.1xG 1Reading to win 68%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Brighton U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gillingham vs Brighton U21?

On our numbers Gillingham have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brighton U21 39%.

How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Brighton U21?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Brighton U21?

Our predicted score is Gillingham 2–1 Brighton U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Gillingham vs Brighton U21?

Gillingham vs Brighton U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.