Oldham vs Leeds United U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leeds United U21 travel to face Oldham on Tuesday 13 October in the EFL Trophy, with Boundary Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Oldham are 4th on 0 points after 3 matches; Leeds United U21 are 4th with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oldham, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Accrington ST, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Leeds United U21, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Stockport County U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Leeds United U21, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Oldham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 2.9 xG, Leeds United U21 1.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 70%, draw 20%, Leeds United U21 10%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Oldham to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 2–1 Leeds United U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oldham70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.60
Leeds United U2110%fair 10.04 · @5.50
4.00Expected goals
2.85Oldham xG
1.15Leeds United U21 xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Oldham 2.9 – 1.1 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
Oldham or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Oldham (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Oldham -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Oldham to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Oldham ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✗
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Oldham – last 6
DLWLLL
10 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Salford City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chesterfield
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
WLWWDW
9 Oct
vs Stockport County U21
3–1
W
6 Oct
@ Tamworth
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Barnsley
4–3
W
19 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Middlesbrough U21
4–4
D
8 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Oldham to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Oldham have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leeds United U21 10%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Oldham 2–1 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Leeds United U21?
Oldham vs Leeds United U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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