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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ASA v Cianorte: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

ASA

WWWWD
5–1
FT

Cianorte

LDWLW
ASA 58%Draw 26%Cianorte 16% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.69
58%
Betarazi pick

ASA to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultASA to win ✓58% · @1.62
Double chanceASA or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44

ASA vs Cianorte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cianorte travel to face ASA on Sunday 26 July in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

ASA, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cianorte, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cianorte, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ASA, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours ASA, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Cianorte.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Cianorte 0–1 ASA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ASA 1.5 xG, Cianorte 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ASA 58%, draw 26%, Cianorte 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.40.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ASA to win (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA 1–0 Cianorte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ASA58%fair 1.74 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.90
Cianorte16%fair 6.07 · @6.00
2.21Expected goals
1.52ASA xG
0.69Cianorte xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: ASA 1.5 – 0.7 Cianorte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultASA to win ✓58%1.741.62
Double chanceASA or draw ✓84%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.982.40 ▲
Draw no betASA (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapCianorte +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.08–
First team to scoreASA to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT ASA / FT ASA ✓35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.44–

Recent results

ASA – last 6

WWWWDD
18 Jul@ Cianorte1–0W
12 Julvs Ivinhema4–0W
7 Jul@ Ivinhema2–1W
27 Jun@ Sergipe1–0W
21 Junvs Sergipe1–1D
14 Jun@ Jacuipense1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cianorte – last 6

LDWLWW
18 Julvs ASA0–1L
11 Jul@ XV de Piracicaba0–0D
4 Julvs XV de Piracicaba4–0W
28 Junvs Independiente FSJ0–1L
20 Jun@ Independiente FSJ1–0W
7 Jun@ Guarany de Bagé1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Cianorte v ASA0–1
ASA vs Cianorte head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT CSA2 São Luiz1 160%1.36X25%3.75215%8.50 1.7–0.8xG 1CSA to win 60%@1.36 ✓
FT Gama3 America-RN2 Pens 4–3 136%2.70X30%2.50234%2.80 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✓
FT ABC4 Luverdense1 161%1.40X25%3.70215%7.50 1.5–0.7xG 1ABC to win 61%@1.40 ✓
FT Ferroviario1 Goiatuba EC2 138%2.15X31%2.62231%3.50 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.25 ✓
FT Treze1 Sao Jose0 Pens 0–3 138%2.38X31%2.50232%3.10 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ASA vs Cianorte?

Our pick is ASA to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win ASA vs Cianorte?

On our numbers ASA have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cianorte 16%.

How many goals will there be in ASA vs Cianorte?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ASA vs Cianorte?

Our predicted score is ASA 1–0 Cianorte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is ASA vs Cianorte?

ASA vs Cianorte (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.