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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSA v São Luiz: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

CSA

DWLWD
2–1
FT

São Luiz

DWLDD
CSA 60%Draw 25%São Luiz 15% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.85
60%
Betarazi pick

CSA to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCSA to win ✓60% · @1.36
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.50

CSA vs São Luiz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSA welcome São Luiz for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 26 July (20:00 WAT).

Current form

CSA, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with São Luiz, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

São Luiz, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CSA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended São Luiz 0–0 CSA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSA 1.7 xG, São Luiz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSA 60%, draw 25%, São Luiz 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CSA to win (60%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSA 1–0 São Luiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSA60%fair 1.67 · @1.36
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.75
São Luiz15%fair 6.66 · @8.50
2.51Expected goals
1.67CSA xG
0.85São Luiz xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: CSA 1.7 – 0.8 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSA to win ✓60%1.671.36
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.872.25 ▲
Draw no betCSA (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapSão Luiz +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreCSA to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSA / FT CSA ✓35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.50–

Recent results

CSA – last 6

DWLWDW
19 Jul@ São Luiz0–0D
14 Julvs Ipatinga4–0W
4 Jul@ Ipatinga0–1L
27 Junvs Lagarto2–0W
21 Jun@ Lagarto1–1D
14 Jun@ Atlético Alagoinhas7–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

São Luiz – last 6

DWLDDW
19 Julvs CSA0–0D
12 Julvs Velo Clube2–1W
4 Jul@ Velo Clube1–2L
27 Jun@ Blumenau1–1D
20 Junvs Blumenau1–1D
7 Junvs Joinville3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026São Luiz v CSA0–0
CSA vs São Luiz head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Gama3 America-RN2 Pens 4–3 136%2.70X30%2.50234%2.80 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✓
FT ABC4 Luverdense1 161%1.40X25%3.70215%7.50 1.5–0.7xG 1ABC to win 61%@1.40 ✓
FT ASA5 Cianorte1 158%1.62X26%2.90216%6.00 1.5–0.7xG 1ASA to win 58%@1.62 ✓
FT Ferroviario1 Goiatuba EC2 138%2.15X31%2.62231%3.50 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.25 ✓
FT Treze1 Sao Jose0 Pens 0–3 138%2.38X31%2.50232%3.10 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSA vs São Luiz?

Our pick is CSA to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win CSA vs São Luiz?

On our numbers CSA have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and São Luiz 15%.

How many goals will there be in CSA vs São Luiz?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSA vs São Luiz?

Our predicted score is CSA 1–0 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is CSA vs São Luiz?

CSA vs São Luiz (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.