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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Treze v Sao Jose: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Treze

LWLDW
1–0
FTPens 0–3

Sao Jose

WDWDD
Treze 38%Draw 31%Sao Jose 32% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.03
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 2.25 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultTreze to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.06

Treze vs Sao Jose: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Treze welcome Sao Jose for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 26 July (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Treze, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sao Jose, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sao Jose, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Treze, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sao Jose, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Treze.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Sao Jose 2–1 Treze.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Treze 1.1 xG, Sao Jose 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Treze 38%, draw 31%, Sao Jose 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treze 1–1 Sao Jose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Treze38%fair 2.67 · @2.38
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.50
Sao Jose32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
2.17Expected goals
1.14Treze xG
1.03Sao Jose xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Treze 1.1 – 1.0 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTreze to win ✓38%2.672.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69%1.451.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.25 ▲
Draw no betTreze (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapSao Jose +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreTreze to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Treze / FT Treze ✓22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.06–

Recent results

Treze – last 6

LWLDWL
18 Jul@ Sao Jose1–2L
12 Julvs CRAC1–0W
4 Jul@ CRAC1–2L
28 Junvs Jacuipense0–0D
21 Jun@ Jacuipense3–1W
14 Jun@ Retrô0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sao Jose – last 6

WDWDDW
18 Julvs Treze2–1W
12 Jul@ Portuguesa RJ0–0D
4 Julvs Portuguesa RJ1–0W
27 Jun@ Santa Catarina1–1D
21 Junvs Santa Catarina1–1D
7 Jun@ Blumenau1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Sao Jose v Treze2–1
Treze vs Sao Jose head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT CSA2 São Luiz1 160%1.36X25%3.75215%8.50 1.7–0.8xG 1CSA to win 60%@1.36 ✓
FT Gama3 America-RN2 Pens 4–3 136%2.70X30%2.50234%2.80 1.3–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10 ✓
FT ABC4 Luverdense1 161%1.40X25%3.70215%7.50 1.5–0.7xG 1ABC to win 61%@1.40 ✓
FT ASA5 Cianorte1 158%1.62X26%2.90216%6.00 1.5–0.7xG 1ASA to win 58%@1.62 ✓
FT Ferroviario1 Goiatuba EC2 138%2.15X31%2.62231%3.50 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treze vs Sao Jose?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.

Who will win Treze vs Sao Jose?

On our numbers Treze have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sao Jose 32%.

How many goals will there be in Treze vs Sao Jose?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Treze vs Sao Jose?

Our predicted score is Treze 1–1 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Treze vs Sao Jose?

Treze vs Sao Jose (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.