Value bet: Vukovar to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVukovar to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dubrava Zagreb travel to face Vukovar on Saturday 17 October in the First NL, with Stadion Gradski vrt the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Vukovar are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Dubrava Zagreb are 14th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vukovar, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hrvace, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Dubrava Zagreb, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orijent 1919, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 1.3 xG, Dubrava Zagreb 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 39%, draw 23%, Dubrava Zagreb 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Vukovar to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 1–1 Dubrava Zagreb. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vukovar39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Dubrava Zagreb38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
2.56Expected goals
1.29Vukovar xG
1.28Dubrava Zagreb xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.3 – 1.3 Dubrava Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✓
39%
2.58
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Vukovar (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Dubrava Zagreb +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Vukovar to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✓
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Vukovar – last 6
WLLLWW
10 Oct
vs Hrvace
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Jadran LP
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dubrava Zagreb – last 6
LLWDWD
10 Oct
@ Orijent 1919
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hrvace
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Opatija
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Jadran LP
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and Dubrava Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dubrava Zagreb 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 Dubrava Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
