Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Jadran LP to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJadran LP to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceJadran LP or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53
Jadran LP vs Dugopolje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:45 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Jadran LP v Dugopolje in the First NL, played at NK Jadran. In the table, Jadran LP are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Dugopolje are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Jadran LP, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sesvete, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Dugopolje, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Croatia Zmijavci, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jadran LP, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Dugopolje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jadran LP 1.7 xG, Dugopolje 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jadran LP 56%, draw 26%, Dugopolje 18%.
Lower-risk option: Jadran LP or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Jadran LP to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Jadran LP or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jadran LP 1–0 Dugopolje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jadran LP56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Dugopolje18%fair 5.57 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.66Jadran LP xG
0.84Dugopolje xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Jadran LP 1.7 – 0.8 Dugopolje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jadran LP to win✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Jadran LP or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Draw no bet
Jadran LP (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Dugopolje +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Jadran LP to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jadran LP / FT Jadran LP✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.53
–
Recent results
Jadran LP – last 6
DLWWWL
9 Oct
@ Sesvete
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Kustosija
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Vukovar
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dugopolje – last 6
LLWLDD
11 Oct
vs Croatia Zmijavci
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Mladost Ždralovi
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Karlovac 1919
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jadran LP and Dugopolje.
What is the prediction for Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Our pick is Jadran LP or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
On our numbers Jadran LP have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dugopolje 18%.
How many goals will there be in Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Our predicted score is Jadran LP 1–0 Dugopolje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Jadran LP vs Dugopolje (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at NK Jadran.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
