Value bet: Kustosija to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHrvace to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Hrvace vs Kustosija: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the First NL brings Hrvace against Kustosija at Gradski stadion Hrvace. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Hrvace are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Kustosija are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Hrvace, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vukovar, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Kustosija, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Opatija, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hrvace 1.0 xG, Kustosija 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hrvace 41%, draw 24%, Kustosija 35%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Kustosija to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hrvace 0–0 Kustosija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hrvace41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Kustosija35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
1.88Expected goals
1.00Hrvace xG
0.88Kustosija xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hrvace 1.0 – 0.9 Kustosija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hrvace to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Hrvace (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Kustosija +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Hrvace to score first✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Recent results
Hrvace – last 6
LWWDLL
10 Oct
@ Vukovar
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kustosija – last 6
DLWLDL
9 Oct
@ Opatija
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Jadran LP
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Croatia Zmijavci
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hrvace and Kustosija.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Hrvace vs Kustosija?
On our numbers Hrvace have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kustosija 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hrvace vs Kustosija?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hrvace vs Kustosija?
Our predicted score is Hrvace 0–0 Kustosija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hrvace vs Kustosija?
Hrvace vs Kustosija (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Hrvace.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
