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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alloa Athletic v Motherwell U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Recreation Park

Alloa Athletic

WWWLD
3–0
FT

Motherwell U21

L
Alloa Athletic 73%Draw 19%Motherwell U21 8% Expected goals 3.15 – 1.20
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✓73% · @1.20
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39

Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Alloa Athletic v Motherwell U21 in the Challenge Cup, played at Recreation Park.

Current form

Alloa Athletic, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Queen of the South, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 3.2 xG, Motherwell U21 1.2 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 73%, draw 19%, Motherwell U21 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 3–1 Motherwell U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alloa Athletic73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @6.20
Motherwell U218%fair 12.56 · @10.00
4.35Expected goals
3.15Alloa Athletic xG
1.20Motherwell U21 xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–06%
4–16%
4–05%

From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 3.2 – 1.2 Motherwell U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlloa Athletic to win ✓73%1.371.20
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓92%1.091.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.70 ▲
Draw no betAlloa Athletic (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic -1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.311.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.741.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓61%1.631.40
First team to scoreAlloa Athletic to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultAlloa Athletic ahead at half-time ✓58%1.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic ✓53%1.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Alloa Athletic – last 6

WWWLDL
22 Aug@ Queen of the South2–0W
15 Augvs Montrose3–0W
11 Augvs Stranraer2–1W
8 Aug@ Hamilton Academical0–1L
1 Augvs East Fife0–0D
25 Jul@ Ayr Utd1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Motherwell U21 – last 1

L
11 Aug@ Kelty Hearts3–4L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Motherwell U21.

Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

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FT Airdrie United1 Stirling Albion3 164%1.68X22%3.80214%4.20 2.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.62 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Berwick Rangers2 167%1.57X19%4.20214%4.50 2.5–1.1xG 1Annan Athletic to win 67%@1.57 ✗
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Rangers U211 122%3.00X17%4.00261%1.91 1.1–2.0xG 2Rangers U21 to win 61%@1.91 ✗
FT Clachnacuddin0 Elgin City2 121%3.35X18%3.75261%1.85 1.3–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Cove Rangers2 Dundee United II0 172%1.07X15%8.60213%20.00 3.3–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
FT Cowdenbeath1 East Kilbride3 116%8.40X16%5.50268%1.25 1.6–3.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.36 ✓
FT Cumbernauld Colts1 Kilmarnock II1 141%2.50X20%3.70239%2.33 2.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.45 ✗
FT Dumbarton2 Celtic II2 133%2.20X19%3.85247%2.60 1.7–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Motherwell U21 8%.

How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 3–1 Motherwell U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21?

Alloa Athletic vs Motherwell U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.