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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dumbarton v Celtic II: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Dumbarton Football Stadium

Dumbarton

LLLWL
2–2
FT

Celtic II

WWWWD
Dumbarton 33%Draw 19%Celtic II 47% Expected goals 1.72 – 2.06
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Celtic II to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCeltic II to win ✗47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Dumbarton vs Celtic II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Celtic II travel to face Dumbarton on Tuesday 25 August in the Challenge Cup, with Dumbarton Football Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Dumbarton, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kelty Hearts, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Celtic II, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cumnock Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 4.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Celtic II, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Dumbarton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dumbarton 1.7 xG, Celtic II 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dumbarton 33%, draw 19%, Celtic II 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
  • Price worth noting: Celtic II to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dumbarton 1–2 Celtic II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dumbarton33%fair 2.99 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.85
Celtic II47%fair 2.12 · @2.60
3.78Expected goals
1.72Dumbarton xG
2.06Celtic II xG
71%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.7 – 2.1 Celtic II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeltic II to win ✗47%2.122.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.411.30
Draw no betCeltic II (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapDumbarton +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
First team to scoreCeltic II to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultCeltic II ahead at half-time ✓37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celtic II / FT Celtic II ✗29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Dumbarton – last 6

LLLWLW
22 Aug@ Kelty Hearts1–3L
15 Augvs Edinburgh City0–3L
11 Augvs Airdrie United1–3L
8 Augvs Clyde1–0W
1 Aug@ Stirling Albion0–2L
25 Julvs Cove Rangers2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Celtic II – last 6

WWWWDW
21 Augvs Cumnock Juniors4–1W
15 Aug@ Dalbeattie Star5–1W
12 Aug@ Hamilton Academical3–1W
8 Aug@ Renfrew5–3W
1 Augvs Johnstone Burgh1–1D
28 Julvs Clydebank6–1W
4.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Celtic II.

Dumbarton vs Celtic II head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United1 Stirling Albion3 164%1.68X22%3.80214%4.20 2.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.62 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic3 Motherwell U210 173%1.20X19%6.2028%10.00 3.2–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Berwick Rangers2 167%1.57X19%4.20214%4.50 2.5–1.1xG 1Annan Athletic to win 67%@1.57 ✗
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Rangers U211 122%3.00X17%4.00261%1.91 1.1–2.0xG 2Rangers U21 to win 61%@1.91 ✗
FT Clachnacuddin0 Elgin City2 121%3.35X18%3.75261%1.85 1.3–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Cove Rangers2 Dundee United II0 172%1.07X15%8.60213%20.00 3.3–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
FT Cowdenbeath1 East Kilbride3 116%8.40X16%5.50268%1.25 1.6–3.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.36 ✓
FT Cumbernauld Colts1 Kilmarnock II1 141%2.50X20%3.70239%2.33 2.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.45 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Celtic II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Dumbarton vs Celtic II?

On our numbers Dumbarton have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celtic II 47%.

How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Celtic II?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Celtic II?

Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–2 Celtic II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Dumbarton vs Celtic II?

Dumbarton vs Celtic II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.