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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cumbernauld Colts v Kilmarnock II: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland
Cumbernauld Colts 41%Draw 20%Kilmarnock II 39% Expected goals 2.36 – 2.30
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.45Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCumbernauld Colts to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.46

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cumbernauld Colts welcome Kilmarnock II for a Challenge Cup fixture on Tuesday 25 August (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Cumbernauld Colts, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dalbeattie Star, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cumbernauld Colts 2.4 xG, Kilmarnock II 2.3 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cumbernauld Colts 41%, draw 20%, Kilmarnock II 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cumbernauld Colts 2–2 Kilmarnock II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cumbernauld Colts41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
Kilmarnock II39%fair 2.56 · @2.33
4.65Expected goals
2.36Cumbernauld Colts xG
2.30Kilmarnock II xG
71%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–27%
2–16%
1–26%
3–25%
2–35%
1–15%

From our goals model: Cumbernauld Colts 2.4 – 2.3 Kilmarnock II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCumbernauld Colts to win ✗41%2.432.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.421.40
Draw no betCumbernauld Colts (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapKilmarnock II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.351.45 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.792.15 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓62%1.611.25
First team to scoreCumbernauld Colts to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultCumbernauld Colts ahead at half-time ✗35%2.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cumbernauld Colts / FT Cumbernauld Colts ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6%16.46–

Recent results

Cumbernauld Colts – last 6

DDLLDL
22 Augvs Dalbeattie Star2–2D
15 Aug@ Gretna 20083–3D
11 Aug@ Queen of the South0–4L
8 Aug@ Auchinleck Talbot0–1L
1 Augvs Renfrew2–2D
28 Julvs Kilwinning Rangers2–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kilmarnock II – last 1

L
11 Aug@ East Kilbride3–5L
3.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cumbernauld Colts and Kilmarnock II.

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?

On our numbers Cumbernauld Colts have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kilmarnock II 39%.

How many goals will there be in Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?

We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?

Our predicted score is Cumbernauld Colts 2–2 Kilmarnock II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.

When is Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II?

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kilmarnock II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.