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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartans v Hearts U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Ainslie Park

Spartans

DLDDW
5–0
FT

Hearts U21

WWLLD
Spartans 65%Draw 19%Hearts U21 16% Expected goals 2.87 – 1.45
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.53Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSpartans to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceSpartans or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60

Spartans vs Hearts U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Spartans v Hearts U21 in the Challenge Cup, played at Ainslie Park.

Current form

Spartans, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Elgin City, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Hearts U21, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Berwick Rangers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartans 2.9 xG, Hearts U21 1.5 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartans 65%, draw 19%, Hearts U21 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartans 2–1 Hearts U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartans65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.60
Hearts U2116%fair 6.35 · @7.00
4.32Expected goals
2.87Spartans xG
1.45Hearts U21 xG
62%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: Spartans 2.9 – 1.5 Hearts U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartans to win ✓65%1.531.35
Double chanceSpartans or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.601.73 ▲
Draw no betSpartans (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapSpartans -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.952.35 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.501.22
First team to scoreSpartans to score first ✓66%1.53–
Half-time resultSpartans ahead at half-time ✓51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartans / FT Spartans ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.60–

Recent results

Spartans – last 6

DLDDWW
22 Augvs Elgin City3–3D
15 Aug@ Stranraer0–1L
11 Aug@ East Fife2–2D
8 Augvs Edinburgh City2–2D
1 Aug@ Annan Athletic4–2W
25 Jul@ Montrose2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hearts U21 – last 6

WWLLDL
11 Aug@ Berwick Rangers4–3W
10 Aprvs Albion Rovers3–0W
3 Apr@ East Stirlingshire2–4L
20 Marvs Clydebank0–8L
6 Marvs Gretna 20081–1D
27 Feb@ Cumbernauld Colts0–3L
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartans and Hearts U21.

Spartans vs Hearts U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United1 Stirling Albion3 164%1.68X22%3.80214%4.20 2.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.62 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic3 Motherwell U210 173%1.20X19%6.2028%10.00 3.2–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Berwick Rangers2 167%1.57X19%4.20214%4.50 2.5–1.1xG 1Annan Athletic to win 67%@1.57 ✗
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Rangers U211 122%3.00X17%4.00261%1.91 1.1–2.0xG 2Rangers U21 to win 61%@1.91 ✗
FT Clachnacuddin0 Elgin City2 121%3.35X18%3.75261%1.85 1.3–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Cove Rangers2 Dundee United II0 172%1.07X15%8.60213%20.00 3.3–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
FT Cowdenbeath1 East Kilbride3 116%8.40X16%5.50268%1.25 1.6–3.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.36 ✓
FT Cumbernauld Colts1 Kilmarnock II1 141%2.50X20%3.70239%2.33 2.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.45 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartans vs Hearts U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Spartans vs Hearts U21?

On our numbers Spartans have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hearts U21 16%.

How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Hearts U21?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Hearts U21?

Our predicted score is Spartans 2–1 Hearts U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Spartans vs Hearts U21?

Spartans vs Hearts U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.