Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Peterhead to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPeterhead to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chancePeterhead or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 22 September the Challenge Cup brings Forfar Athletic against Peterhead at Station Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Forfar Athletic, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Annan Athletic, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Peterhead, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Airdrie United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jul 2026) it ended Forfar Athletic 0–3 Peterhead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forfar Athletic 1.1 xG, Peterhead 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forfar Athletic 15%, draw 21%, Peterhead 63%.
Lower-risk option: Peterhead or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Peterhead to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Peterhead or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forfar Athletic 1–2 Peterhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forfar Athletic15%fair 6.59 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Peterhead63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
3.40Expected goals
1.09Forfar Athletic xG
2.31Peterhead xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Forfar Athletic 1.1 – 2.3 Peterhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our pick is Peterhead or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
On our numbers Forfar Athletic have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peterhead 63%.
How many goals will there be in Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our predicted score is Forfar Athletic 1–2 Peterhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Station Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.