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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kelty Hearts v Hearts U21: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · New Central Park

Kelty Hearts

LLWWL
3–5
FT

Hearts U21

WLWWL
Kelty Hearts 70%Draw 21%Hearts U21 9% Expected goals 3.95 – 1.88
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultKelty Hearts to win ✗70% · @1.36
Double chanceKelty Hearts or draw ✗91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 17.64

Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hearts U21 travel to face Kelty Hearts on Tuesday 22 September in the Challenge Cup, with New Central Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Kelty Hearts, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Edinburgh City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Hearts U21, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Gala Fairydean Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Hearts U21, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kelty Hearts.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kelty Hearts 3.9 xG, Hearts U21 1.9 xG – a total near 5.8. That is an open game on paper: 93% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kelty Hearts 70%, draw 21%, Hearts U21 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kelty Hearts 3–1 Hearts U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kelty Hearts70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
Hearts U219%fair 10.72 · @6.00
5.83Expected goals
3.95Kelty Hearts xG
1.88Hearts U21 xG
70%Both score
93%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–16%
4–16%
3–25%
4–25%
5–14%
2–14%

From our goals model: Kelty Hearts 3.9 – 1.9 Hearts U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKelty Hearts to win ✗70%1.431.36
Double chanceKelty Hearts or draw ✗91%1.101.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.44
Draw no betKelty Hearts (draw no bet) ✗88%1.13–
Asian handicapKelty Hearts -1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
First team to scoreKelty Hearts to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultKelty Hearts ahead at half-time ✗59%1.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kelty Hearts / FT Kelty Hearts ✗53%1.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6%17.64–

Recent results

Kelty Hearts – last 6

LLWWLL
19 Sepvs Edinburgh City1–3L
12 Sep@ Clyde1–4L
8 Sep@ Cumbernauld Colts3–0W
5 Sepvs Annan Athletic2–1W
29 Aug@ Stranraer0–2L
25 Augvs Clydebank2–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hearts U21 – last 6

WLWWLL
8 Sep@ Gala Fairydean Rovers6–1W
25 Aug@ Spartans0–5L
11 Aug@ Berwick Rangers4–3W
10 Aprvs Albion Rovers3–0W
3 Apr@ East Stirlingshire2–4L
20 Marvs Clydebank0–8L
2.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kelty Hearts and Hearts U21.

Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Alloa Athletic4 Hibernian U211 169%1.22X20%5.00211%10.00 1.8–0.5xG 1Alloa Athletic to win 69%@1.22 ✓
FT Banks O' Dee2 Aberdeen U211 122%3.10X19%3.75259%1.85 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.36 ✓
FT Berwick Rangers3 Stranraer2 122%3.80X21%3.50258%1.73 1.6–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.44 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1 Airdrie United6 123%3.30X16%3.50262%1.85 1.0–1.9xG 2Airdrie United to win 62%@1.85 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin1 Ross County5 112%13.00X16%6.50272%1.15 1.1–2.9xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.80 ✓
FT Clyde1 Rangers U212 137%2.00X20%3.60243%2.80 2.0–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.25 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Kilmarnock II2 160%1.85X18%3.50222%3.30 2.9–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.35 ✓
FT East Kilbride3 Celtic II3 166%1.25X19%5.00215%9.00 3.4–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?

On our numbers Kelty Hearts have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hearts U21 9%.

How many goals will there be in Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?

We expect about 5.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?

Our predicted score is Kelty Hearts 3–1 Hearts U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.8 goals in total.

When is Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?

Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Central Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.