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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hamilton Academical v Kilmarnock II: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · ZLX Stadium

Hamilton Academical

WWWWW
3–0
FT

Kilmarnock II

LWDL
Hamilton Academical 75%Draw 18%Kilmarnock II 7% Expected goals 2.75 – 0.86
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓75% · @1.12
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the Challenge Cup brings Hamilton Academical against Kilmarnock II at ZLX Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Hamilton Academical, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cowdenbeath, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kilmarnock II, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dumbarton, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Hamilton Academical, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kilmarnock II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamilton Academical 2.8 xG, Kilmarnock II 0.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hamilton Academical 75%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock II 7%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamilton Academical 3–0 Kilmarnock II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hamilton Academical75%fair 1.34 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @8.00
Kilmarnock II7%fair 14.58 · @17.00
3.61Expected goals
2.75Hamilton Academical xG
0.86Kilmarnock II xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
4–06%

From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 2.8 – 0.9 Kilmarnock II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✓75%1.341.12
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.762.10 ▲
Draw no betHamilton Academical (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapHamilton Academical -1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.981.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
First team to scoreHamilton Academical to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultHamilton Academical ahead at half-time ✓58%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✓54%1.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.38–

Recent results

Hamilton Academical – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Sepvs Cowdenbeath1–0W
19 Sepvs Queen of the South4–1W
8 Sep@ Spartans4–0W
5 Sep@ East Kilbride1–0W
29 Augvs Cove Rangers1–0W
25 Augvs Edinburgh City0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kilmarnock II – last 4

LWDL
22 Sep@ Dumbarton2–3L
8 Sep@ Cowdenbeath2–1W
25 Aug@ Cumbernauld Colts1–1D
11 Aug@ East Kilbride3–5L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Kilmarnock II.

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

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FT Airdrie United7 Berwick Rangers1 177%1.12X14%7.5029%15.00 3.0–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Alloa Athletic2 Gala Fairydean Rovers2 172%1.08X17%10.00212%15.00 2.6–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Annan Athletic2 Hibernian U211 172%1.22X17%6.00212%8.00 2.4–0.9xG 1Annan Athletic to win 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic3 Motherwell U210 167%1.38X11%5.50222%4.75 2.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Clachnacuddin3 Celtic II3 136%2.45X18%4.00246%2.20 2.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cove Rangers2 Aberdeen U211 165%1.57X11%5.00224%3.50 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cowdenbeath1 Clyde3 122%3.40X12%4.50265%1.67 1.2–2.3xG 2Clyde to win 65%@1.67 ✓
FT Dumbarton3 Banks O' Dee2 159%1.70X17%4.20224%3.60 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kilmarnock II 7%.

How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 3–0 Kilmarnock II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II?

Hamilton Academical vs Kilmarnock II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.